Efekti migracionih tokova na tržište rada imigracionih zemalja: primer EU nakon proširenja 2004. godine
Bočna strana članka
Glavni sadržaj članka
Apstrakt
Predmet istraživanja ovog rada jesu efekti migracionih tokova na nezaposlenost, mogućnost zapošljavanja i visinu zarada domaćih radnika imigracionih zemalja. Analiza je usmerena na ocenu efekata migracionih tokova radne snage iz zemalja Centralne i Istočne Evrope koje su pristupile Evropskoj uniji 2004. godine na tržište rada starih članica. Posebna pažnja usmerena je na analizu uticaja migracionih tokova iz novih članica EU na pokazatelje tržišta rada Velike Britanije i Irske, zemalja koje nisu primenjivale tranzcione mere prema imigrantima iz novih članica. Analiza je izvršena za period od 2004. do 2008. godine u kom je ostvaren najveći priliv imigranata. Rezultati pokazuju da je umeren priliv imigranata iz novih članica imao pozitivan uticaj na tržište rada EU. Kvalifikaciona i sektorska struktura imigranata ukazuje na njihovu komplementarnu ulogu na tržištu rada. Efekti migracionih tokova na rast stope nezaposlenosti niži su od predviđenih uz prisustvo neznatnog smanjenja visine zarada domaćih radnika. Visoka stopa privrednog rasta Velike Britanije i Irske u posmatranom periodu uzrokovala je izostanak negativnog efekata imigracije na stopu nezaposlenosti i pojavu malih pozitivnih efekata na visinu zarada domaćih radnika.
Preuzimanja
Detalji članka
Centar za demografska istraživanja Instituta društvenih nauka
Reference
ANGRIST, D. J., A. D. KUGLER (2003). "Protective or Counter-Productive? Labour Market Institutions and the Effect of Immigration on EU Natives", The Economic Journal, 113(448), 302-331.
BAREL, R., J. FITZGERALD, R. RILEY (2007). "EU Enlargement and Migration: Assessing the Macroeconomic Impacts", NIESR Discussion Paper No. 292 (London: National Institute of Economic and Social Research).
BAUER, K. T., K. F. ZIMMERMANN (1999). "Assessment of Posible Migration Pressure and its Labour Market Impact Following EU Enlargement to Central and Eastern Europe", IZA Research Report No. 3 (Bonn: IZA).
BLANCHFLOWER, G. D., J. SALEHEEN, C. SHADFORTH (2007). "The Impact of the Recent Migration from Eastern Europe on the UK Economy". http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/speeches/2007/speech297.pdf preuzeto 24.06.2009.
BOERI, T., H. BRÜCKER (2000). "The Impact of Eastern Enlargement on Employment and Labour Markets in the EU Member States", Final Report for the European Commission.
BRUDER, J. (2003). "East-West Migration in Europe, 2004-2015, Conclusions from Southern Enlargement" http://www.roses.univ-paris1.fr/evenements/dossiers_conferences/Conference_elargissement_2003/articles/26_JanaBruder.pdf>, 12.06.2009.
BRÜCKER, H. (2007). "Labour Mobility After the European Union's Eastern Enlargement: Who Wins, Who Loses?", The German Marshall Fund of the United States. http://www.gmfus.org/doc/0307_LaborMobility.pdf>, 17.06.2009.
COATS, D. (2008). "Migration Myths: Employment, Wages and Labour Market Performance", Report of the Work Foundation, <http://www.theworkfoundation.com/Assets/PDFs/migration.pdf>, 02.07.2009.
COENDERS, M., M. LUBBERS, P. SCHEEPERS (2003). "Majorities Attitudes toward Minorities in European Union Member States: Results from the Standard Eurobarometers 2003", Report 2 for the European Monitoring Centre on Racism and Xenophobia.
D'AURIA, F., K. MCMORROW, K. PICHELMANN (2008). "Economic Impact of Migration Flows Following the 2004 EU Enlargement Proces: A Model Based Analysis", Economic Papers No. 349. (Brussels: European Commission).
DOYLE, N., G. HUGHES, E. WADENSJÖ (2006). "Freedom of Movement for Workers from Central and Eastern Europe: Experiences in Ireland and Sweden", The Report of Swedish Institute for European Policy Studies.
EUROPEAN COMMISSION (2004). "Joint Employment Report 2003/2004", Report of the Council for Employment, Social Policy, Health and Consumer Affairs EU.
EUROPEAN COMMISSION (2006). "Report on the Functioning of the Transitional Arrangements Set Out in the 2003 Accession Treaty (period 1 May 2004 – 30 April 2006)", COM (2006) 48 final.
EUROPEAN COMMISSION (2008). "The Impact of Free Movement of Workers in the Context Of EU Enlargement", COM (2008) 765 final.
FERTIG, M. (2001). "The Economic Impact of EU-Enlargement: Assessing the Migration Potential", Empirical Economics, 26 (707-720).
FRIEDBERG, M. R., J. HUNT (1995). "The Impact of Immigrants on Host Country Wages, Employment and Growth", Journal of Economic Perspectives, 9(2): 23-44.
GAVOSTO, A., A. VENTURINI, C. VILLOSIO (1999). "Do Immigrants Compete with Natives?", Labour, 13(3): 603-621.
GROSS, M. D. (2002). "Three Million Foreigners, Three Million Unemployed? Immigration Flows and the Labour Market in France", Applied Economics, 34: 1969-1983.
GURDGIEV, C. (2007). Migration and EU Enlargement: the Case of Ireland v Denmark (Dublin: Open Republic Institute).
HOFER, H., P. HUBER (2003). "Wage and Mobility Effects of Trade and Migration on the Austrian Labour Market", Empirica, 30: 107-125.
HOME OFFICE (2009). "Accession Monitoring Report May 2004–December 2008", Report of Department for Work and Pensions UK.
HUGHES, G. (2007). "EU Enlargement and Labour Market Effects of Migration to Ireland from Southern, Central and Eastern Europe", Working Paper for IZA Migration Workshop EU Enlargement and Labour Markets, Bonn 7-8 September 2007.
HUNT, J. (1992). "The Impact of the 1962 Repatriates from Algeria on the French Labor Market", Industrial and Labor Relations Review, 45(3): 556-572.
LEMOS, S., J. PORTES (2008). "The Impact of Migration from the New European Union Member States on Native Workers", Department for Work and Pensions, Working Paper No. 52.
MCCORMIC, B. (2008). "Analysis of the Irish Labour Market and Immigration Since EU Enlargement", Translocations: The Irish Migration, Race and Social Transformation Review, 3(1).
NATIONAL STATISTICS OF UK (2007). "Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings", Report of National Statistics of United Kingdom.
OKKERSE, L. (2008). "How to Measure Labour Market Effects of Immigration: A Review", Journal of Economic Surveys, 22(1): 1-30.
PISCHKE, J., J. VELLING (1997). "Employment Effects of Immigration to Germany: An Analysis Based on Local Labor Market", Review of Economics and Statistics, 79: 594-604.
PLATA-ALVAREZ, P., H. BRÜCKER, B. SILIVERSTOVS (2003). "Potential Migration from Central and Eastern Europe into the EU-15 – An Update", Report for the European Commission DG Employment and Social Affairs.
WALLACE, C. (1998). Migration Potential in Central and Eastern Europe (Geneva: IOM).
WINTER-EBMER, R., J. ZWEIMÜLLER (1996). "Immigration and the Earnings of Young Native Workers", Oxford Economic Papers, 48(3): 473-491.
WINTER-EBMER, R., J. ZWEIMÜLLER (1999). "Do immigrants Displace Young Native Workers: The Austrian Experience", Journal of Population Economics, 12: 327-340.
ZORLU, A., J. HARTOG (2005). "The Effects of Immigration on Wages in Three European Countries, Journal of Population Economics, 18: 113-151.