Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Editorial board Title: Notes about the authors Publication-Status: Published Abstract: No. Journal: Stanovnistvo Pages: 149-150 Volume: 36 Issue: 3-4 Year: 1998 Month: December File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/589 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/589/541 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:v:36:y:1998:i:3-4:id:589 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Byron Kotzamanis Author-Workplace-Name: University of Thessaly, Volos (Greece) Author-Name: Jean-Paul Sardon Author-Workplace-Name: INED, Paris (France) Title: Ageing of the European Populations and its Causes. The Case of France and Greece Publication-Status: Published Abstract: Demographic ageing (continuous increase of the percentage of old people of a population) depends on the evolutions of fertility, mortality and migration as well as on the age structure of the population which reflects the changes of the three above mentioned components in the remote past. In this article we examine the consequences of each of the three demographic components on demographic ageing in two European countries (France and Greece); two countries significantly differentiated as far as their trajectory is concerned during the last two centuries. From the viewpoint of methodology, in order to evaluate these consequences we adopted the simulation method and more specifically, each time we kept one of the three components stable for the level it is characterized at the beginning of the study period and we estimated the amount and the percentage of the over-sixty-year old persons which we would have in this case in the early 1990's (amount and percentage we compared to the corresponding ones estimated around 1993). At the same time we tried to estimate the specific weight of the early structures of population in the two countries on the basis of today's demographic ageing: thus, we proceeded to identical simulations with different population structures at the starting point (stable populations corresponding to the tables on mortality for 1950 in France and I960 in Greece). The basic conclusions of this study allow us to see the significant specific weight of the mortality change on demographic ageing (ageing from above), parallel to the already known role of fertility (ageing from the basis of the pyramid). On the contrary, the role of migration currents appears limited and their influence has the opposite direction in these two countries of study; slight acceleration of ageing in Greece, slight slowing down in France. At the same time, demographic ageing in the early l 990's in both countries is smoother than that expected if their populations were stable. Finally, in France as well as in Greece the acceleration of ageing is inevitable as significant changes in fertility are absent. Mortality is expected to play a more and more significant role in the mid and remote future to such an extent that the prolongation of the expected life at birth will be more and more due to gains of life for the over-sixty-year-old persons. Keywords: demographic ageing; fertility; mortality; stable population; France; Greece Journal: Stanovnistvo Pages: 7-41 Volume: 36 Issue: 3-4 Year: 1998 Month: December DOI: 10.2298/STNV9804007K File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/383 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/383/338 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:v:36:y:1998:i:3-4:id:383 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michel Grignon Author-Workplace-Name: INED, Paris (France) Author-Name: Sophie Pennec Author-Workplace-Name: INED, Paris (France) Title: Demographic regimes and management of functional disability of the elderly Publication-Status: Published Abstract: No abstract. Journal: Stanovnistvo Pages: 115-125 Volume: 36 Issue: 3-4 Year: 1998 Month: December DOI: 10.59954/stnv.388 File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/388 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/388/343 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:v:36:y:1998:i:3-4:id:388 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mirjana Bobić Author-Workplace-Name: Demographic Research Centre, Institute of Social Sciences, Belgrade (Serbia) Title: Christopher Prinz: "Cohabiting, Married, or Single" Publication-Status: Published Abstract: No abstract. Journal: Stanovnistvo Pages: 127-133 Volume: 36 Issue: 3-4 Year: 1998 Month: December DOI: 10.59954/stnv.390 File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/390 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/390/344 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:v:36:y:1998:i:3-4:id:390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Goran Penev Author-Workplace-Name: Demographic Research Centre, Institute of Social Sciences, Belgrade (Serbia) Title: Trends of demographic ageing and feminization of aged population in Serbia Publication-Status: Published Abstract: The ageing of the aged represents one of the main features of the demographic ageing in Serbia during the post-war period. The main indicator of this process is the increase in the share of persons aged 80 and over in total old age population (60+). The author analyzes the dynamics of the elderly population (80+) in the period from 1948-1991 with a special emphasis on the composition by sex. An emphasis is also placed on the regional differences in the process of the demographic ageing of the aged. According to the population projections of Serbia until 2021, it would be realistic to expect an intensive aging of the old - the number of persons aged 80 and over could more than double (from 174 thousand to 368 thousand) and their share in the total could reach 15.3%. Keywords: demographic ageing; aged population; feminization; Serbia Journal: Stanovnistvo Pages: 43-60 Volume: 36 Issue: 3-4 Year: 1998 Month: December DOI: 10.2298/STNV9804043P File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/384 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/384/339 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:v:36:y:1998:i:3-4:id:384 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nada Raduški Author-Workplace-Name: Demographic Research Centre, Institute of Social Sciences, Belgrade (Serbia) Title: Jean-Noёl Biraben, Jacqueline Hecht, Jacques Houdalille (eds.): "Population - Population et histoire" Publication-Status: Published Abstract: No abstract. Journal: Stanovnistvo Pages: 134-140 Volume: 36 Issue: 3-4 Year: 1998 Month: December DOI: 10.59954/stnv.391 File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/391 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/391/345 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:v:36:y:1998:i:3-4:id:391 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurent Martel Author-Workplace-Name: Statistique Canada, Division des prix, Ottawa (Ontario) Author-Name: Alain Parant Author-Workplace-Name: INED, Paris (France) Title: Ageing of the Electorate in Quebec Publication-Status: Published Abstract: Population ageing has many consequences on society; one of them is the ageing of the electorate. The purpose of this article is to describe the past and future evolution of the electorate in Quebec as well as some of its consequences. Still today one of the youngest provinces in Canada, Quebec will be ageing rapidly from 2011 because of the arrival of the baby-boomers at age 65. According to the most recent projections of the Bureau de la Statistique du Quebec, 25 to 30% of the population will be aged 65 or over in 2041, so at least one person out of four. The electorate will aged accordingly: from 16% today, the elderly will represent between 30 and 35% of the population aged 18 or over in 2041. In 1951, there was 21 persons aged 65 or over for 100 aged 18 to 34. In I 996, this ratio was more than the double. In 2041, it could be 123 or even 168 depending on the scenario. The ageing of the electorate will have many consequences, in particular on States policies. The election on a majority basis in use in Quebec incites the political parties to design their platform in accordance with the interest of the median voter. Therefore, we can expect a reorientation of the social choices in favour of the elderly in the near future. Better educated, in better health and wealthiest, future senior citizens will probably be able to get better organised to defend their interest on the political scene. The linkage between individual and collective ageing bring certain observers to think that their ageing of the electorate will lead to a conservative society dominated by the absence of innovation, an attitude typically associated to the elderly. We know that the individuals tend to behave consistently, to keep their political opinions as they get older. This second hypothesis suggests that population ageing might encourage the pressure in favour of the independence of Quebec and not refrain it. In 2031, the vote of the baby-boomers, older but faithful to their convictions, combined with the one of the younger generations, favourably disposed to sovereignty, could lead to a "yes" in a referendum. The instability that characterizes political behaviour as well as eventual period effects limit the significance of our analysis. Keywords: demographic ageing; electorate; population projections; Quebec; Canada Journal: Stanovnistvo Pages: 61-72 Volume: 36 Issue: 3-4 Year: 1998 Month: December DOI: 10.2298/STNV9804061M File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/385 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/385/340 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:v:36:y:1998:i:3-4:id:385 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vladimir Ristić Author-Workplace-Name: Economic Institute, Belgrade (Serbia) Title: Gordana Matković (urednik): "lzveštaj о humanom razvoju Jugoslavija 1997. godine - Human Development Report Yugoslavia 1997" Publication-Status: Published Abstract: No abstract. Journal: Stanovnistvo Pages: 141-148 Volume: 36 Issue: 3-4 Year: 1998 Month: December DOI: 10.59954/stnv.392 File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/392 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/392/346 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:v:36:y:1998:i:3-4:id:392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mirjana Rašević Author-Workplace-Name: Demographic Research Centre, Institute of Social Sciences, Belgrade (Serbia) Author-Name: Mina Petrović Author-Workplace-Name: Faculty of Philosophy, University of Belgrade (Serbia) Title: Attitudes and Behaviour of Women in Kosovo and Metohija Relevant for the Population Policy Publication-Status: Published Abstract: A need for extensive investigation of the phenomenon of births in Kosovo and Metohija arises from the fact that our knowledge is almost exclusively based on the population census data (the last census for the whole territory of the province was taken in 1981), vital statistics (reliable data are available for years up to 1989) and two representative surveys (conducted in 1970 and 1976). A more comprehensive insight into fertility and population reproduction is needed in order to formulate population policy measures for which there has been an abject need for some time already. In February 1998, a pilot survey was conducted on the sample of 116 women who had given birth in three different types of maternity wards in Kosovo and Metohija. Despite methodological limitations with regard to the size and manner of the sample selection, its composition was satisfactory in terms of basic social and demographic characteristics as shown by the comparison with vital statistics for 1989 and 1994. This paper discusses behaviour and attitudes expressed by women which are of relevance to the population policy. This should enable an assessment of the elements of receptiveness or its dynamics following application of measures that take into account the needs of women in terms of reproductive behaviour of a certain population. The analysis of the results points to both the dominant role and a process of transformation in the traditional reproductive behaviour and attitudes of women. In terms of value standards and desired situations, a higher level of modification and dissolution of traditional barriers may be observed. However, even in the domain of standards of social value, differences may be observed with regard to the degree of openness to change, which is much more intense in terms of general attitudes than in those closely affecting the lives of those surveyed. This naturally causes certain inconsistencies and the ambivalence in statements given by the women surveyed, which is very characteristic of transitional stage and also inevitably reflects contradictions in behaviour. However, numerous findings point to the formation of positive receptiveness, which is an essential element of the population climate needed for implementation of the family planning programs as well as for designing the population policy measures. On one hand, this would facilitate the satisfaction of current needs and, on the other, especially through further education, accelerate the process of their transformation in the domain of reproductive behaviour and the place of women in society. In other words, as shown by the level of development of needs of the women surveyed, implementation of the family planning program is most urgently required in order to speed up transformation of the economic and psychological cost of parenthood as a social role of women. Keywords: population policy; Kosovo and Metohija Journal: Stanovnistvo Pages: 73-88 Volume: 36 Issue: 3-4 Year: 1998 Month: December DOI: 10.2298/STNV9804073R File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/386 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/386/341 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:v:36:y:1998:i:3-4:id:386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Radoslav Stevanović Author-Workplace-Name: Demographic Research Centre, Institute of Social Sciences, Belgrade (Serbia) Author-Name: Branislav Stojanović Author-Workplace-Name: Geographic Institute "Jovan Cvijić" of the Serbian Academy of Sciences and Arts, Belgrade (Serbia) Title: Level of Urban Development of Demographic Areas in Serbia Publication-Status: Published Abstract: The main aim of this analysis was to determine the demographic effects of the process of urbanization (as measured by the level of population concentration in, formally speaking, urban settlements) on the regional division of Serbia (made more than three decades ago) into standard zones for demographic research. Likewise, the aim of the investigation was to determine (as accurately as possible) the extent to which this scheme of regional division could be used as a basis for demographic regionalization of the territory of the Republic. This two-tier scheme divides the area of Serbia into thirty I-tier (I) zones (regions) and seven II-tier zones (regions) by combining some, usually modified, geographic criteria and (fully applying) the carefully selected strictly demographic criteria, but not applying those of the spatial-demographic character (like densities, migratory features, urbanization). Demographic effects of the process of urbanization (as a strictly demographic parameter) on this regional division were investigated only in terms of the I-tier zones and not at lower (subregional) spatial units - municipalities. The changes were analysed for the period from 1971 to 1991 only, which was estimated as representative enough for this process. Based on the investigation results, the following was concluded: - despite strong demographic effects of the process of urbanization, most standard zones for demographic research have managed to keep the relatively high degree of homogeneity, which makes the current regional division of Serbia quite acceptable with some slight modifications; - modifications of this scheme, as determined by the demographic effects of the process of urbanization, would mostly go into the direction of intra-regional changes in regions to which the major urban agglomerations of Serbia belong because, as large concentrations of population, they form a new spatial demographic structure of these zones (regions); - the modified scheme (adjusted to the actual demographic state and the structure of the zones) would represent a proper base for demographic regionalization of the Republic of Serbia. Keywords: urbanization; areas; cities; regionalization Journal: Stanovnistvo Pages: 89-114 Volume: 36 Issue: 3-4 Year: 1998 Month: December DOI: 10.2298/STNV9804089S File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/387 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/387/342 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:v:36:y:1998:i:3-4:id:387