Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Milica Maričić Author-Workplace-Name: University of Belgrade - Faculty of Organizational Sciences, Belgrade, Serbia Author-Name: Petar Vasić Author-Workplace-Name: University of Belgrade – Faculty of Geography, Belgrade, Serbia Author-Name: Tijana Jakovljević Author-Workplace-Name: University of Belgrade – Faculty of Geography, Belgrade, Serbia Author-Name: Miloš Milovanović Author-Workplace-Name: Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden Title: Do Drought and Agricultural Factors Influence Migration in Serbia? Insights from a Segmentation Study Publication-Status: Published Abstract: The main aim of this paper is to conduct an intraregional analysis in Serbia and to examine how districts (NUTS 3) can be grouped based on drought and agricultural vulnerability, with the supplementary aim of analysing how these district segments differ in their internal emigration rates. Segmentation analysis was conducted for three reference years (2002, 2011, and 2022) using an advanced biclustering approach. The results indicate overall changes in drought, agricultural, and population migration variables across the periods, although substantial cross-district heterogeneity remains. The analysis clearly shows that, at the district level, drought parameters increased over the 20-year period. Another aspect that attracts attention is the temporal evolution of the variation among districts. For some variables, the variation is stable during the observation period (Share of permanent forest, grassland and other natural or semi-natural areas in agricultural land use, Share of agricultural land in use, and Emigration rate). This indicates that even if the mean values changed over time, all districts experienced the same magnitude of change. On the other hand, the variation of Share of Agricultural Population between districts is decreasing, indicating convergence over time. Across the observed periods, five distinct segments were consistently identified, revealing both stable and evolving district- and region-specific patterns. No statistically significant difference in the Emigration rate was found between the defined segments across the observed periods. By uncovering both the shared trajectories and divergent developments, the study contributes to a deeper understanding of population migration dynamics under drought and environmental challenges and enables the identification of districts and district segments threatened by these challenges. The insights from this study identify the segments (groups) of districts where emigration is more pronounced and could serve as a signal to policymakers. We believe that the presented intraregional study could act as an impetus for further detailed analysis on the nexus between environmental challenges and population dynamics in Serbia. Keywords: segmentation analysis; districts; migration; drought; agriculture Journal: Stanovnistvo Year: 2026 Month: January DOI: 10.59954/stnv.779 File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/779 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/779/992 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:y:2026:id:779 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saša Milojević Author-Workplace-Name: University of Criminal Investigation and Police Studies, Belgrade, Serbia Author-Name: Dragan Živaljević Author-Workplace-Name: Academy for National Security, Belgrade, Serbia Author-Name: Srđan Milašinović Author-Workplace-Name: University of Criminal Investigation and Police Studies, Belgrade, Serbia Title: Digital Social Participation of Young People in Serbia: Between Symbolic Support and Civic Engagement Publication-Status: Published Abstract: Contemporary youth participation increasingly occurs in digital environments, yet it remains unclear whether such practices amount to mere symbolic support or constitute an emerging form of civic engagement. This article examines the forms, motives, barriers, and mobilisation potential of digital social participation among young people in Serbia. The study is based on an exploratory triangulation design that combines a survey of 100 young respondents aged 16 to 24, 12 semi-structured interviews, and a coded content analysis of 500 social media posts. The findings show that young people use the internet and social networks intensively and that they follow social and political content regularly or occasionally. However, their engagement most often takes low-threshold forms, including sharing activist content, signing online petitions, commenting, and occasionally expressing personal views publicly. At the same time, the interviews reveal that young people do not uniformly understand digital activism: some perceive it as a contemporary public space and a first step towards broader civic engagement, while others see it as a limited, superficial, or insufficiently effective form of support. The content analysis indicates that education, politics, and human rights are the most visible topics, whereas video posts, calls to action, and emotionally framed content have the strongest potential to generate reactions. The article concludes that digital social participation among young people is neither a substitute for traditional civic engagement nor a mere illusion of action. Rather, it is a transitional and generationally specific form of participation whose effects are strengthened when connected with education, community support, clear objectives, and offline action. Keywords: youth; digital participation; social media; civic engagement; Serbia Journal: Stanovnistvo Year: 2026 Month: January DOI: 10.59954/stnv.790 File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/790 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/790/986 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:y:2026:id:790 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mirko Savić Author-Workplace-Name: Faculty of Economics, Subotica, Serbia Author-Name: Stojanka Dakić Author-Workplace-Name: Faculty of Economics, Subotica, Serbia Title: Modelling Union Dissolution: A Global Comparative Review of Quantitative Approaches (2001–2025) Publication-Status: Published Abstract: Research on union dissolution has expanded considerably over the past two decades, yet evidence remains fragmented across regions, methodological traditions, data systems and union types, particularly outside North America and Western Europe. This study provides a global comparative synthesis of quantitative research on union dissolution, by identifying the dominant statistical approaches, examining their distribution across world regions, and determining which predictors are most frequently analysed in relation to union dissolution. It also highlights methodological and geographical imbalances that limit cross-national comparability and the cumulative development of demographic knowledge. The review covers 174 peer-reviewed articles published between 2001 and 2025, comprising 312 statistical models from 45 countries and four African regions. Models were classified according to methodological approach, union type and categories of explanatory variables. The findings show that discrete-time event history models and Cox regression dominate empirical research in the field. Despite the growing demographic relevance of non-marital partnerships, cohabiting couples remain substantially underrepresented in empirical analyses. Across regions, the most frequently examined predictors include demographic, socioeconomic, child-related, family-background and socio-psychological factors, reflecting both common patterns and region-specific determinants of union dissolution. The study concludes that, despite its increasing scope, the literature on union dissolution remains methodologically and geographically uneven. Limited access to timely longitudinal data continues to hinder the development of comparable evidence and the broader application of advanced statistical methods in many regions. By synthesising more than two decades of quantitative research, this paper provides a methodological synthesis of quantitative approaches to union dissolution across diverse demographic and institutional contexts, while identifying prevailing modelling practices, regional research gaps and key predictor domains. Keywords: union dissolution; quantitative models; regional patterns; methodological imbalances; comparative demography Journal: Stanovnistvo Year: 2026 Month: January DOI: 10.59954/stnv.792 File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/792 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/792/1049 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:y:2026:id:792 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Natalija Mirić Author-Workplace-Name: University of Belgrade Faculty of Geography, Belgrade, Serbia Title: Environmental Stress and Spatial Mobility: How Pollution Shapes Everyday Adaptations and Migration Strategies in Serbia Publication-Status: Published Abstract: Environmental degradation has become a persistent feature of everyday life in many Serbian cities, where chronic exposure to polluted air, industrial emissions, and infrastructural deficits shapes how residents perceive their living environments and plan their spatial futures. While the health impacts of pollution are well documented, far less is known about the ways that environmental stress influences residential choices, intra urban mobility, and long term migration strategies. This study addresses this gap by examining how families in five highly polluted Serbian cities (Belgrade, Valjevo, Kosjerić, Smederevo, and Pančevo) interpret environmental stress and incorporate it into their mobility decisions. Drawing on five focus groups with 35 participants, the study analyzes how pollution becomes an embodied and emotional experience that restricts daily routines, generates health concerns, and produces a sense of environmental insecurity. The findings show that environmental stress triggers a continuum of adaptive responses: micro adaptations within the household, intra urban relocations to less polluted microlocations, suburban and rural moves motivated by the search for cleaner air and greater safety, and long term migration aspirations shaped by intergenerational concerns. These strategies reveal that environmental mobility is not a sudden or binary decision but a gradual, cumulative process emerging from the interplay of bodily discomfort, institutional distrust, and perceptions of future risk. The study also highlights the role of weak environmental governance in shaping mobility trajectories. When institutions are perceived as unresponsive, environmental risk becomes privatized, and mobility becomes one of the few available mechanisms of protection. By integrating perspectives from environmental stress theory, place attachment, environmental inequality, and mobility studies, the article contributes to a more nuanced understanding of how chronic pollution reshapes spatial behavior in postsocialist contexts. The findings underscore the need for policies that strengthen environmental monitoring, improve urban planning, and rebuild institutional trust in order to reduce mobility pressures and support community resilience. Keywords: environmental stress; spatial mobility; embodied experience; focus groups; Serbia Journal: Stanovnistvo Year: 2026 Month: January DOI: 10.59954/stnv.793 File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/793 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/793/997 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:y:2026:id:793 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Damjan Bakić Author-Workplace-Name: University of Belgrade - Faculty of Geography, Belgrade, Serbia Title: International scientific conference: “Population and environment: challenges and perspectives“ Belgrade, 24 Octobar 2025 Publication-Status: Published Journal: Stanovnistvo Year: 2026 Month: January DOI: 10.59954/stnv.795 File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/795 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/795/1054 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:y:2026:id:795 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ivan Novković Author-Workplace-Name: University of Belgrade - Faculty of Geography, Belgrade, Serbia Title: Assessing Natural Hazard Exposure and Demographic Vulnerability in Serbian LSGUs Using FAHP and FMULTIMOORA Publication-Status: Published Abstract: Natural hazards increasingly represent a significant challenge to sustainable development, disaster risk reduction, and population wellbeing, particularly in regions affected by adverse demographic trends. This study examines the interaction between natural hazard exposure and demographic vulnerability across 25 Serbian local self-government units (LSGUs) through the integration of Geographic Information Systems (GIS), the Triangular Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP), and the Fuzzy MULTIMOORA method. Fifteen indicators were organized into three groups representing natural hazard exposure, hazard exposure within built-up areas, and demographic vulnerability. The hazard-related indicators included flood-prone areas, landslide and rockfall susceptibility, seismic hazard, hail-prone areas, and areas exposed to erosion and torrential floods. The demographic indicators included the shares of people with disabilities, population aged 65 years and over, population without educational attainment, economically inactive population, and elderly single-person households. Criterion weights were determined using Triangular FAHP, while Fuzzy MULTIMOORA was applied to rank LSGUs according to their integrated vulnerability. Additional group-specific Fuzzy MULTIMOORA analyses were conducted separately for each indicator group to identify the principal drivers of vulnerability. The integrated assessment identified Ljubovija, Vladičin Han, and Krupanj as the most vulnerable LSGUs, whereas Lebane, Gadžin Han, and Vladimirci occupied the lowest positions. The group-specific analyses further revealed that municipalities characterized by the highest demographic vulnerability were not necessarily those with the highest integrated vulnerability, emphasizing the importance of interactions among environmental and demographic dimensions of vulnerability. The study contributes to the understanding of local vulnerability patterns by integrating demographic and environmental perspectives within a unified decision-making framework. The proposed approach may support evidence-based disaster risk reduction policies, population protection measures, spatial planning, and local resilience-building initiatives in Serbia and other regions facing similar demographic and environmental challenges. Keywords: GIS; spatial vulnerability assessment; multi-criteria decision-making; fuzzy sets; population ageing Journal: Stanovnistvo Year: 2026 Month: January DOI: 10.59954/stnv.796 File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/796 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/796/1010 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:y:2026:id:796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Slavoljub Dragićević Author-Workplace-Name: University of Belgrade, Serbia Author-Name: Marko Langović Author-Workplace-Name: University of Belgrade, Serbia Author-Name: Milan Radović Author-Workplace-Name: University of Belgrade, Serbia Author-Name: Radislav Tošić Author-Workplace-Name: University of Banja Luka, Bosnia and Herzegovina Author-Name: Milica Langović Author-Workplace-Name: University of Belgrade, Serbia Author-Name: Novica Lovrić Author-Workplace-Name: University of Banja Luka, Bosnia and Herzegovina Author-Name: Stefan Manojlović Author-Workplace-Name: University of Belgrade, Serbia Title: Land use and socio-economic changes caused by riverbank erosion - case study: Obrenovac municipality, Serbia Publication-Status: Published Abstract: Lateral bank erosion of meandering rivers represents a significant geomorphological process in the lower part of the Kolubara River Basin in Serbia. This process directly impacts land-use and agricultural productivity and lead to broader environmental, socioeconomic, and demographic changes. Historically, the Kolubara riverbanks have been intensively used for agriculture. Today, lateral channel migration and riverbank erosion, driven by the interaction between natural process and human activities, directly threaten traditionally active land plots along the river. This study investigates the long-term dynamics of riverbank erosion along the four active meanders of the Kolubara River in Obrenovac Municipality over a 97-year period (1930–2026). Main tasks include quantification of lateral channel migration and land loss rates, analysis of land-use changes within the endangered plots, and an investigation of socioeconomic consequences and demographic dynamics in affected settlements. The methodological framework integrates cadastral maps analysis, remote sensing techniques (UAVs), and GIS software, with analysis of demographic and land-use data. The results indicate that maximum lateral channel migration reached 259.3 m during the observed period, while the total land loss amounted to 17.6 ha, consisting mostly of arable land. This reduction has directly affected the local agricultural sector, resulting in an estimated land loss value of approximately 24,122 USD. Demographic analysis reveals population decline exceeding 40% in the analysed settlements (Draževac, Konatice and Poljane) between 1961 and 2022, from over 90% of the economically active population in 1961 to less than 2% in 2022. Ultimately, by highlighting the socioeconomic impacts of riverbank erosion such as irreversible agricultural land loss and rural livelihood disruption, these findings offer valuable insights for spatial planning and sustainable land management. Keywords: lateral bank erosion; land loss; endangered plots; population dynamics; Obrenovac Municipality Journal: Stanovnistvo Year: 2026 Month: January DOI: 10.59954/stnv.797 File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/797 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/797/1042 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:y:2026:id:797 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vera Gligorijević Author-Workplace-Name: University of Belgrade - Faculty of Geography, Belgrade, Serbia Author-Name: Damjan Bakić Author-Workplace-Name: University of Belgrade - Faculty of Geography, Belgrade, Serbia Author-Name: Filip Mijušković Author-Workplace-Name: University of Belgrade - Faculty of Geography, Belgrade, Serbia Title: Climate Migration in Serbia: Quantification Using a Difference-in-Differences Approach Publication-Status: Published Abstract: This study examines whether the municipalities classified as flood-affected during the May 2014 floods experienced a differential change in formally registered internal out-migration relative to non-flooded municipalities. The analysis uses a balanced municipality-year panel for 2009–2018, comprising 40 flood-affected and 125 non-flooded municipalities, with municipality and calendar-year fixed effects. The primary estimate is positive but imprecise (0.239 per 1,000 residents; 95% CI: −0.423 to 0.901). A restricted matched-sample estimate is larger but also imprecise, while a specification allowing NUTS2 region-specific annual shocks produces a larger positive estimate. Event-study and placebo diagnostics provide no statistical evidence of differential pre-treatment changes, although their confidence intervals are wide. Exploratory analyses suggest that estimated responses may vary by selected pre-flood municipal characteristics, but they do not identify household-level mechanisms. The findings do not support a single specification-invariant estimate of a positive average flood effect; they show that the estimated municipality-level association is sensitive to the comparison group and the treatment of regional annual shocks. Keywords: climate migration; 2014 floods; difference-in-differences; aspirations and capabilities; Serbia Journal: Stanovnistvo Year: 2026 Month: January DOI: 10.59954/stnv.799 File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/799 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/799/1052 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:y:2026:id:799 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marko Galjak Author-Workplace-Name: Institute of Social Sciences, Belgrade, Serbia Title: Premature Mortality as a Neglected Demographic Challenge of Serbia: Population Policy beyond Subsidizing Births Publication-Status: Published Journal: Stanovnistvo Year: 2026 Month: January DOI: 10.59954/stnv.814 File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/814 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/814/1029 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:y:2026:id:814 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gordana Matković Author-Workplace-Name: Center for social policy, Belgrade, Serbia Title: Population Aging in Serbia: From a Complex Challenge to a Comprehensive Policy Response Publication-Status: Published Journal: Stanovnistvo Year: 2026 Month: January DOI: 10.59954/stnv.815 File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/815 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/815/1036 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:y:2026:id:815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ivan Marinković Author-Workplace-Name: Institute of Social Sciences - Centre for Demographic Research, Belgrade, Serbia Title: From Registry to Research Data: How Useful Are Incidence Data in Serbia for Assessing Environmental Impacts on Health? Publication-Status: Published Journal: Stanovnistvo Year: 2026 Month: January DOI: 10.59954/stnv.816 File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/816 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/816/1030 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:y:2026:id:816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mirjana Rašević Author-Workplace-Name: Serbian Academy of Sciences and Arts, Belgrade, Serbia Title: From a Conventional to a Holistic Model of Parenthood Support Publication-Status: Published Journal: Stanovnistvo Year: 2026 Month: January DOI: 10.59954/stnv.817 File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/817 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/817/1038 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:y:2026:id:817 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vladimir Nikitović Author-Workplace-Name: Institute of Social Sciences - Center for Demographic Research, Belgrade, Serbia Title: Migration Transition and Migration Governance in Serbia: Beyond Demographic Determinism Publication-Status: Published Journal: Stanovnistvo Year: 2026 Month: January DOI: 10.59954/stnv.819 File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/819 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/819/1039 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:y:2026:id:819 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mirjana Rašević Author-Workplace-Name: Serbian Academy of Sciences and Arts, Belgrade, Serbia Author-Name: Aleksandar Knežević Author-Workplace-Name: University of Belgrade, Faculty of Geography, Belgrade, Serbia Title: Panel: Effective Responses to the Demographic Crisis Editors’ Note Publication-Status: Published Journal: Stanovnistvo Year: 2026 Month: January DOI: 10.59954/stnv.821 File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/821 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/821/1048 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:y:2026:id:821 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aleksandar Knežević Author-Workplace-Name: University of Belgrade – Faculty of Geography, Serbia Title: Discussion Overview Publication-Status: Published Journal: Stanovnistvo Year: 2026 Month: January DOI: 10.59954/stnv.823 File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/view/823 File-Function: Abstract page File-Format: text/html File-URL: https://stnv.idn.org.rs/STNV/article/download/823/1040 File-Function: Full text File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:eto:stanov:y:2026:id:823